Polls
October 24, 2016 (Montréal, QC) – The final Mainstreet/Postmedia poll of the 2016 Saskatoon Mayoral race finds Don Atchison in the lead with Charlie Clark in second. The Mainstreet/Postmedia Poll has a margin of error of +/- 3.47%, 19 times out of 20.
“This has been an exciting and volatile campaign” said David Valentin, Executive Vice-President of Mainstreet Research. “Mr. Atchison’s support has grown to 32% (up 2%) while Kelley Moore has dropped significantly to 20% (down 8%). At the same time Charlie Clark has been able to grow his support to pass Moore on his way to second. He is now at 28% (up 7%) while Devon Hein has slipped to 3% (down 1%).”
“Don Atchison’s lead is not insurmountable but with many of Kelley Moore’s soft supporters leaning towards Atchison – not Clark, it will be tough for the Clark campaign to peel off voters. We’ve seen in the last few weeks the Clark campaign has advocated against strategic voting – but the numbers are now reversed. A skilled turnout operation may not be enough; it still looks like Clark will need to persuade voters to leave Atchison or Moore if he is to win on Wednesday.”
“When we look at decided and leaning voters we see: Don Atchison 38%, Charlie Clark 33%, Kelley Moore 25% and Devon Hein at 4%.”
“One thing is for certain: Don Atchison’s support is rock solid at 82%, he will be the candidate to beat in this campaign. He has run a skilled, disciplined campaign and is set to collect his base vote. Whether Clark’s campaign can make up the difference in just a few days remains to be seen. We still don’t know how this race will end but we do know that it’s one of the most exciting races in Saskatoon in quite some time.”
“Hopefully voters will head to the polls and make their voices heard; we look forward to watching the results and thank all Saskatoon residents who participated in Mainstreet surveys this election,” finished Valentin.
About Mainstreet Research
Mainstreet is a national public research firm. With 20 years of political experience at all three levels of government, President and CEO Quito Maggi is a respected commentator on Canadian public affairs.
Differentiated by its large sample sizes, Mainstreet Research has provided accurate snapshots of public opinion, having predicted a majority NDP government in Alberta, a majority Liberal government in British Columbia and a majority Liberal government in Ontario. Mainstreet has been the most accurate polling firm in several by elections and the most recent Toronto mayoral election. Most recently, Mainstreet was the only polling firm to correctly predict a Liberal majority government in the 2015 federal election.
-30-
Mainstreet – Saskatoon Election by Mainstreet on Scribd
