Polls
March 24, 2016 (Ottawa, ON) – A new Mainstreet/Postmedia poll finds a dead heat in the Winnipeg riding of Fort Rouge with Liberal Leader Rana Bokhari just narrowly hanging on. The Mainstreet/Postmedia Poll has a margin of error of +/- 4.81%, 19 times out of 20.
“The race in Fort Rouge is coming down to the wire” said Quito Maggi, President of Mainstreet Research. “Perhaps unexpectedly this is a three-way race, not a two-way race. Bokhari is leading within the margin of error, it’s a statistical dead heat.”
Mainstreet is well known for its accurate riding level work. Most recently, a riding poll of the Calgary Greenway by election was validated on Tuesday as an accurate representation of public opinon.
Among all voters: Bokhari 25.77%, Gordon 24.1%, Kinew 23.74%, Sharp 6.27%, Undecided: 20.12%
Among Decided and Leaning voters: Bokhari: 32.19%, Kinew: 29.84%, Gordon: 29.44%, Sharp: 8.53%
Among Decided Voters Only: Bokhari: 32.26%, Gordon: 30.18%, Kinew: 29.72%, Sharp: 7.85%
“The Liberals cannot afford to have Bokhari personally campaign in the riding, they will have to depend on volunteers and Bokhari’s media presence as leader” continued Maggi. “That is the opportunity for Gordon and Kinew. As local candidates they can canvass for votes and use the personal touch to win over undecideds.”
“With 1 in 5 voters in Fort Rouge undecided this is anyone’s game. Rarely do we see party leaders in competitive races, this will be the riding to watch on election night,” finished Maggi.
About Mainstreet Research
Mainstreet is a national public research firm. With 20 years of political experience at all three levels of government, President and CEO Quito Maggi is a respected commentator on Canadian public affairs.
Differentiated by its large sample sizes, Mainstreet Research has provided accurate snapshots of public opinion, having predicted a majority NDP government in Alberta, a majority Liberal government in British Columbia and a majority Liberal government in Ontario. Mainstreet has been the most accurate polling firm in several by elections and the most recent Toronto mayoral election. Most recently, Mainstreet was the only polling firm to correctly predict a Liberal majority government in the 2015 federal election.
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