Polls
24 January 2018 (Ottawa, ON) – Dwight Ball and the governing Liberals have a slight lead over the Progressive Conservatives, a new Mainstreet Research poll finds.
The poll was part of Mainstreet Research’s UltraPoll and surveyed 647 residents of Newfoundland and Labrador aged 18 and over between January 3rd and 4th. The poll has a margin of error of +/- 3.85% and is accurate 19 times out of 20.
The poll has the Liberals at 43.7% support and leaning and decided voters, while the Conservatives have 41.3%. The NDP currently have 15.1% support.
“Premier Ball will be looking to increase his lead over the Davis Conservatives in 2018”, said Quito Maggi, President and CEO of Mainstreet Research. “The next provincial election will be in October 2019, so the Liberals will have some time to extend their lead over the Conservatives back to where it was in 2015, but as it currently stands, the Liberals have lost 13.5% support from the last election.”
Maggi further notes that it is too early to say whether Ball’s re-election chances are in jeopardy or not. “This could be mid-term blues for the Liberals”, continued Maggi. “But given that the 17% of voters say that they are undecided, the low Liberals’ numbers could be a matter of Liberal voters in 2015 not sure of who to vote for today but might come back once an election is called.”
Maggi further notes that the opposition parties will be electing new leaders in 2018.
“The political landscape will change in Newfoundland and Labrador with the NDP and Progressive Conservatives choosing new leaders this year, so a lot will happen over 2018 that can impact voters’ preferences.”
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Mainstreet Nl Jan24 by Mainstreet on Scribd
