Polls
May 14, 2017 (Ottawa, ON) – A new Mainstreet/iPolitics poll finds the Nova Scotia Liberals continue to lead though they have dropped slightly, within the margin of error, provincially. The Mainstreet/iPolitics poll has a margin of error of +/- 3.1 percentage points, 19 times out of 20.
“The Liberals have had some missteps this week,” said Quito Maggi, President of Mainstreet Research. “While they have dipped outside the Greater Halifax area, they have gained within Halifax itself. The Liberals now hold 10 point leads both within and outside the Greater Halifax area – this a trend the PCs and NDP will need to reverse if they are to make seat gains – the first past the post system rewards support that is concentrated.”
Amond Decided & Leaning Voters: Liberals 40% (-2), PCs 30% (+1), NDP 24% (-1), Greens 5% (+1)
“The undecided rate has remained more or less stable this week with 24% of Nova Scotians telling us that they still have yet to decide who they will mark a ballot for. We don’t expect this number to shift significantly until the leaders debate. The upcoming televised debate will be the best opportunity for the opposition leaders to introduce themselves to Nova Scotians. Expect the party leaders to take some time off the campaign trail as they prepare themselves for what will be the campaign’s biggest engagement.”
“The campaign dynamics so far point to a Liberal campaign that is doing well despite some early missteps – but this is not a narrative the Liberals can allow to continue if they want to stay in the lead. For now, it does not appear the PCs and NDP have been able to shake up the campaign in a real way. We see in the polling numbers that while there is some movement, some of it can be ascribed to the randomness of polling. Time is running out, with Election Day less than 18 days away, candidates of all parties will need to focus their attention on identifying their supporters and getting out their vote.
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Mainstreet – NS May 10-11 by Mainstreet on Scribd
