Polls
15 May 2019 (Ottawa, ON) – The Progressive Conservatives have a four-point lead over the governing Liberals in what is shaping up to be one of the closest elections in Newfoundland and Labrador history.
Those are the findings from Mainstreet Research’s latest Newfoundland and Labrador poll, which surveyed 643 Newfoundland and Labrador residents between May 13th and May 14th. The poll has a margin of error of +/- 3.86% and is accurate 19 times out of 20.
“The PCs are leading in the popular vote but we are finding that their vote is inefficient,” said Quito Maggi, President and CEO of Mainstreet Research. “Because of this, we can see Dwight Ball winning the most seats tomorrow even though he looks set to lose the popular vote.”
Among decided and leaning voters, the PCs led by Ches Crosbie have 45.3%, while the Liberals led by Dwight Ball come in with 41.2%. The NDP led by Alison Coffin have 7.7%, while the NL Alliance with Graydon Pelley at the helm have 3.4%.
“The NDP have taken a big hit in support simply because they were unable to field a full slate of candidates,” added Maggi. “This will play to the Liberals’ advantage as they will be the only progressive option in most ridings outside of St. John’s.”
When asked who they thought would make the best premier, 35.3% said that they prefer Crosbie, while 33.7% said they thought Ball would be the best premier.
However, when asked whether they thought the province was on the right track or not, 50.2% said that it was on the wrong track while only 27.2% said that it was on the right track.
“How voters in Newfoundland and Labrador see these two issues indicate some indecision,” concluded Maggi. “It could play to the Liberals’ advantage if voters go to the ballot box with the party leaders at the front of their minds.”
“However, if they are more concerned about the general direction of the province, then that would give an advantage to the PCs”.
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Mainstreet Nl 15may2019 by Mainstreet on Scribd
