PEI Liberals Lead In A Three Way Battle For The Top - Mainstreet Research
Mainstreet Research

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PEI Liberals Lead In A Three Way Battle For The Top

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9 November 2018 (Ottawa, ON) – The governing Liberals maintain their lead in voter preference in Prince Edward Island, with the Green Party moving into second.

Those are the findings from Mainstreet Research’s latest UltraPoll, a conglomeration of ten provincial polls. The poll surveyed 639 Prince Edward Islanders between October 30th and November 1st. The poll has a margin of error of +/- 3.87% and is accurate 19 times out of 20.

“The McLauchlan Liberals are still ahead and have gained support since we last polled in July,” said Quito Maggi, President and CEO of Mainstreet Research. “The three parties are still close together even though the gap between first and third has widened.”

Among decided and leaning voters, the Liberals led by Wade MacLauchlan have 33.4% support (+1.4% since July), while the Greens led by Peter Bevan-Baker have 29.7% (+0.5%). The Progressive Conservatives, who are now looking for a new leader, slip to third with 28.3% (-0.9%). The NDP with Joe Byrne at the helm have 6.7% (+1.3%).

The Greens and the Liberals are in a statistical tie among female voters, while the PCs lead the Liberals by nearly four points among men.

Among the age groups, the Liberals have a substantial lead among 18-34s, while the PCs have nearly a twenty point lead over the Liberals among those aged between 35 to 49. Among the 50-64 age cohort, the Greens lead by three points, while the Liberals lead the Greens by almost three points among respondents older than 65.

In terms of regional breakouts, the Liberals lead the Greens by 5.6% in Charlottetown, while the Liberals have a three-point lead over the Greens in the rest of PEI.

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