Polls
2 August 2018 (Ottawa, ON) – Less than three points separate the governing Liberals and the third place Greens.
Those are the findings from Mainstreet Research’s latest UltraPoll, a conglomeration of ten provincial polls. The poll surveyed 731 Prince Edward Islanders between July 15th to 17th. The poll has a margin of error of +/- 3.85% and is accurate 19 times out of 20.
“The MacLauchlan Liberals are in a virtual tie with the PCs with the Greens very close behind,” said Quito Maggi, President and CEO of Mainstreet Research. “We have not seen a situation like this before where three parties’ levels of support are this close to each other and within the margin of error.”
Among decided and leaning voters, the Liberals led by Wade MacLauchlan have 32% support, while the Progressive Conservatives with James Aylward currently enjoy 31.3%. The Greens – who led the last time Mainstreet polled PEI in January – come in with 29.2%. The NDP with Joe Byrne at the helm have 5.4%.
The Greens lead the Liberals by less than a point among female voters, while the PCs lead the Liberals by nearly four among men. It is the PCs’ poor performance among women and the Green Party’s weak showing among men that is costing both parties the overall lead.
Among the age groups, the Liberals lead the Greens by less than a point among 18-34s, while the PCs have a nearly a twenty point lead over the Liberals among those aged between 35 to 49. Among the 50-64 age cohort, the Liberals and the Greens are essentially tied, while the Liberals lead the PCs by almost four points among respondents older than 65.
In terms of regional breakouts, the Liberals lead the PCs by nearly three, while all three parties are within less than two points of each other in the rest of PEI.
Mainstreet Pei Aug02 by Mainstreet on Scribd
