2025 Canadian Federal Election

Last updated on
March 25, 2025
Model Methodology
Liberal
190
Seats
37
44.2
%
Percentage
11.6
%
88.1
%
Majority Probability
10.7
%
Minority Probability
Conservative
120
Seats
1
38.5
%
Percentage
4.8
%
0.2
%
Majority Probability
1
%
Minority Probability
Bloc
26
Seats
-7
6.2
%
Percentage
-1.4
%
0
%
Majority Probability
0
%
Minority Probability
New Democrat
6
Seats
-19
6.6
%
Percentage
-11.2
%
Green
1
Seats
-1
1.5
%
Percentage
-0.8
%
People's
0
Seats
0
2.5
%
Percentage
-2.4
%
Canada
Canada
Ontario
Quebec
British Columbia
Prairies
Atlantic
Crosstabs
Voter Intention
Seat Count

Canadian Federal Electoral Districts Vote Projections

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Ontario Federal Electoral Districts Vote Projections

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Quebec Federal Electoral Districts Vote Projections

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British Columbia Federal Electoral Districts Vote Projections

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Prairies Federal Electoral Districts Vote Projections

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Atlantic Federal Electoral Districts Vote Projections

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Lastest Mainstreet Polling Crosstabs

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Mainstreet Canadian Federal Voter Intention Polling

House of Commons Seat Count Projections