Canadian Federal Election

Last updated on
October 1, 2024
Model Methodology
Conservatives
229
Seats
110
43.5
%
Percentage
9.8
%
99.3
%
Majority Probability
0.7
%
Minority Probability
Bloc
44
Seats
11
8.2
%
Percentage
0.6
%
0
%
Majority Probability
0
%
Minority Probability
Liberals
42
Seats
-111
19.3
%
Percentage
-13.3
%
0
%
Majority Probability
0
%
Minority Probability
New Democrats
27
Seats
2
19.9
%
Percentage
2.1
%
Greens
1
Seats
-1
3.5
%
Percentage
1.2
%
People's
0
Seats
0
2.7
%
Percentage
-2.2
%
Canada
Canada
Voter Intention
Seat Count

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