Canadian Federal 2025 Election

Last updated on
January 17, 2025
Model Methodology
Conservatives
214
Seats
95
44.7
%
Percentage
11
%
96.8
%
Majority Probability
3.2
%
Minority Probability
Liberals
72
Seats
-81
25.6
%
Percentage
-7
%
0
%
Majority Probability
0
%
Minority Probability
Bloc
40
Seats
7
7.6
%
Percentage
0
%
0
%
Majority Probability
0
%
Minority Probability
New Democrats
16
Seats
-9
13
%
Percentage
-4.8
%
Greens
1
Seats
-1
4.1
%
Percentage
1.8
%
People's
0
Seats
0
3.4
%
Percentage
-1.5
%
Canada
Canada
Voter Intention
Seat Count

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Mainstreet Canadian Federal Voter Intention Polling

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