2025 Canadian Federal Election

Last updated on
April 15, 2025
Model Methodology
Liberal
187
Seats
27
43.7
%
Percentage
11.1
%
75.3
%
Majority Probability
12.6
%
Minority Probability
Conservative
139
Seats
20
43.4
%
Percentage
9.7
%
5
%
Majority Probability
7
%
Minority Probability
Bloc
12
Seats
-20
3.9
%
Percentage
-3.7
%
0
%
Majority Probability
0
%
Minority Probability
New Democrat
4
Seats
-21
5.2
%
Percentage
-12.6
%
Green
1
Seats
-1
2.1
%
Percentage
-0.2
%
People's
0
Seats
0
0.8
%
Percentage
-4.1
%
Canada
Canada
Ontario
Quebec
British Columbia
Prairies
Atlantic
Crosstabs
Voter Intention
Seat Count

Canadian Federal Electoral Districts Vote Projections

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Ontario Federal Electoral Districts Vote Projections

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Quebec Federal Electoral Districts Vote Projections

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British Columbia Federal Electoral Districts Vote Projections

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Prairies Federal Electoral Districts Vote Projections

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Atlantic Federal Electoral Districts Vote Projections

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Lastest Mainstreet Polling Crosstabs

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Mainstreet Canadian Federal Voter Intention Polling

House of Commons Seat Count Projections