Ontario 2025 Election

Last updated on
December 2, 2024
Model Methodology
Ontario PCs
89
Seats
6
42.3
%
Percentage
1.5
%
98.6
%
Majority Probability
1.4
%
Minority Probability
Ontario NDP
23
Seats
-8
21.7
%
Percentage
-2
%
0
%
Majority Probability
0
%
Minority Probability
Ontario Liberals
10
Seats
2
26.9
%
Percentage
3
%
0
%
Majority Probability
0
%
Minority Probability
Ontario Greens
2
Seats
2
6.1
%
Percentage
3
%
0
%
Majority Probability
0
%
Minority Probability
Ontario
Ontario
Voter Intention
Seat Count

Ontario Electoral Districts Vote Projections

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Mainstreet Ontario Voter Intention Polling

Legislative Assembly Seat Count Projections