A new poll from Mainstreet Research asked BC Voters about how they would vote in the next Provincial and Federal elections. If an election were held today, four in ten BC electors would vote for the Governing NDP (39.6%) with over a third saying they would vote for the BC Conservatives (34.2%) and less than two in 10 would vote for BC United (14.2%) and less than one in 10 for the BC Greens (9.6%).
The gender divide is quite clear in BC in Provincial vote intentions with BC Conservatives holding a 9 point lead among male voters while trailing the NDP by 20 points among female voters. Similarly along regional lines, the BC Conservatives lead in the interior by 10 points, are tied with the NDP on Vancouver Island and trail the NDP by 11 point in greater Vancouver.
When asked about the next Federal election, the results point to a federal Conservative rout with almost 1 in 2 voters supporting Pierre Poilievre and the Federal Conservatives (49.6%). The Liberals place second with just over two in ten supporting (22.8%) and the NDP third with just below two in ten (19.4%).
There is a similar gender divide although the Conservatives lead Liberals among female voters by just 6 points, that lead among male voters is more than 45 points. Support for the Liberals is highest in greater Vancouver (26%) and highest for the NDP on Vancouver Island (22.7%).
"This deeper dive in to federal vote intentions in BC is consistent with our latest National polls" said President & CEO of Mainstreet Quito Maggi. "The Provincial numbers are interesting and continue to suggest that the BC United rebrand experiment is a failure" he added. "This is our first snapshot of BC of 2024 and is consistent with our last BC poll of 2023 that showed BC United in third. As voters come closer to an election, that support continues to erode benefitting both the NDP and the BC Conservatives.
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